BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Monday, January 15, 2024
Boise State 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.70 |
26.70 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
379.93 |
379.93 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.70 |
5.70 (+0.00) |
Boise State 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
29.00 |
27.81 (-1.19) |
32.17 |
30.36 (-1.80) |
30.36 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
384.67 |
373.01 (-11.66) |
437.42 |
420.65 (-16.77) |
420.65 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.76 |
5.50 (-0.26) |
6.70 |
6.45 (-0.25) |
6.45 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
19.50 |
26.39 (+6.89) |
25.42 |
24.27 (-1.14) |
24.27 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
292.17 |
351.91 (+59.75) |
387.25 |
381.05 (-6.20) |
381.05 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
4.66 |
5.32 (+0.67) |
6.11 |
6.04 (-0.07) |
6.04 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.2 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
@Washington |
19.43 |
41.77 |
+22.35 |
61.20 |
14.16% |
L 19-56 |
0-1 |
| 2023-09-09 |
UCF |
27.71 |
28.29 |
+0.57 |
56.00 |
49.08% |
L 16-18 |
0-2 |
| 2023-09-16 |
North Dakota |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 42-18 |
1-2 |
| 2023-09-23 |
@San Diego State |
32.84 |
17.90 |
-14.93 |
50.74 |
73.95% |
W 34-31 |
2-2 |
| 2023-09-30 |
@Memphis |
38.04 |
34.39 |
-3.65 |
72.43 |
55.85% |
L 32-35 |
2-3 |
| 2023-10-08 |
San José State |
32.38 |
25.16 |
-7.22 |
57.53 |
61.58% |
W 35-27 |
3-3 |
| 2023-10-15 |
@Colorado State |
36.79 |
21.54 |
-15.25 |
58.32 |
74.46% |
L 30-31 |
3-4 |
| 2023-10-28 |
Wyoming |
29.54 |
21.41 |
-8.13 |
50.94 |
63.04% |
W 32-7 |
4-4 |
| 2023-11-05 |
@Fresno State |
31.10 |
25.12 |
-5.98 |
56.21 |
59.59% |
L 30-37 |
4-5 |
| 2023-11-12 |
New Mexico |
46.21 |
18.27 |
-27.94 |
64.48 |
94.81% |
W 42-14 |
5-5 |
| 2023-11-19 |
@Utah State |
45.16 |
30.00 |
-15.15 |
75.16 |
74.30% |
W 45-10 |
6-5 |
| 2023-11-24 |
Air Force |
28.67 |
20.82 |
-7.85 |
49.49 |
62.59% |
W 27-19 |
7-5 |
| 2023-12-02 |
@UNLV |
35.25 |
31.91 |
-3.34 |
67.16 |
55.36% |
W 44-20 |
8-5 |
| Postseason |
|---|
| 2023-12-17 |
UCLA |
18.76 |
21.39 |
+2.63 |
40.15 |
45.78% |
L 22-35 |
8-6 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 8-6 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 2-12 |
0.00% |
| 3-11 |
0.04% |
| 4-10 |
0.35% |
| 5-9 |
1.71% |
| 6-8 |
5.50% |
| 7-7 |
12.68% |
| 8-6 |
20.62% |
| 9-5 |
23.90% |
| 10-4 |
19.63% |
| 11-3 |
10.86% |
| 12-2 |
3.89% |
| 13-1 |
0.76% |
| 14-0 |
0.06% |